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The 283 Days of Stock Returns after the 2016 Election


Conventionalwisdom suggests that the promise of tax legislation played an important and positive role in the 25% increase in the stock market that began on November 9, 2016 and continued through December 22, 2017 (the day TCJAwas signed into law). Our comprehensive and exhaustive forensic analysis confirms its positive effect.with that said,we find that its net impact is relatively modest. To come to this conclusion,we first construct a novel daily human-based attribution by carefully reading the news on each of the 283 days. This exercise shows the 52 days inwhich tax-related newswas important make up less than 1% of the total observed return.we attribute large gains to tax-related news immediately after the election aswell as the build-up to passage in late 2017.

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Biden Tax-Increase Agenda Revived as Democrats Win Senate

  • By Richard Rubin

Democratic control of the Senate gives President-elect Joe Biden a much stronger chance of raising taxes on corporations and high-income households. Until thisweek's Georgia runoff elections, Mr. Biden's plans for tax increaseswere running into solid opposition from the Republican-controlled Senate. But now, Democratswill hold thewhite House, Senate and House simultaneously for the first time in more than a decade, and they are poised to use that power.

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France Seeks De-Escalation from Biden on Trade, Minister Says

  • By Phil Serafino

France is open to all signs of "de-escalation" from incoming Biden administration in U.S. on trade disputes over aircraft makers and a digital tax, French Trade Minister Franck Riester says in interview on BFM Business television.

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Why the World is Watching


The digital economy is equivalent to 15.5% of global GDP and is growing two and a half times faster than global GDP over the past 15 years, according to theworld Bank. This rapid expansion has sparked global debates in many legal and regulatory realms. In the field of international taxation, the debate focuses onwhether the current rules are appropriate in the modern global economy, especially regarding the allocation of income and profits among countries for tax purposes or purposes of being potentially subject to tax.

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OECD Opens Global Tax Meeting to Public for the First Time

  • By Stephanie Soong Johnston

In a bid to boost transparency in tax cooperation among nearly 140 countries, the OECDwill livestream the group's next meeting, given public interest in taxing digital activity and other issues amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

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A Look Ahead: Hurry Up and Wait for a Global Tax Reform Deal

  • By Stephanie Soong Johnston

Despite the OECD's best efforts to convince countries to sign off on proposals to tax the digital economy ÔøΩ during a pandemic, no less ÔøΩ a deal remains elusive, awaiting signals from the Biden administration in 2021.

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Stepping Forward, Back, and Sideways on Tax Transparency

  • By Mindy Herzfeld

With a split Senate, President-elect Joe Biden probablywon't be able to enact the kind of tax increases he campaigned on or use executive action to bring about the big fiscal policy changes progressiveswant. But there is one areawhere the incoming administrationwill have the chance to make a mark and help influence corporate and individual taxpayer activities.

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A Look Ahead: 2021 to Be Pivotal Year for EU Taxation

  • By Elodie Lamer

The European Commission's action plan for business taxation,which outlines its digital and green transition strategies,will be published soon, and Portugal ÔøΩwhich holds the EU presidency ÔøΩ has promised to push that agenda forward.

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Is GILTI Constitutional?

  • By Reuven S. Avi-Yonah

At first glance, the question in the headline may appear to be frivolous. The global intangible low-taxed income regime must be constitutional ÔøΩ GILTI builds on subpart F,which built on the foreign personal holding company (FPHC) regime thatwas declared to be constitutional in Eder back in1943. But perhaps it isn't that easy.

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U.S. Stands Down on Tariff Retaliation Against French Digital Tax

  • By Stephanie Soong Johnston

The United States has suspended plans to impose punitive tariffs on French goods in response to France's controversial digital services tax, citing ongoing probes into the digital taxes of 10 other trading partners.

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U.S. Says Digital Taxes of Italy, India, and Turkey Are Discriminatory

  • By Stephanie Soong Johnston

The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) has determined that India's equalization levy and the digital services taxes of Italy and Turkey unfairly target U.S. business interests, but has no immediate plans to act on those conclusions.

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US to delay tariff on French goods over digital sales tax

  • By Aime Williams

The USwill delay imposing tariffs on $1.3bn of French goods in response to the country's digital services tax, heading off an escalation in transatlantic trade tensions just ahead of Joe Biden's inauguration.

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HMRC pursues multiple criminal investigations in corporate tax disputes

  • By Emma Agyemang

The UK tax authority has opened multiple criminal investigations after probingwhether large companies arewrongly paying less UK tax as a result of their cross-border financialarrangements.

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Multinational Corporations and Tax Havens: Evidence from Country-by-Country Reporting


A growing body of economics literature shows thatmultinationalcorporations(MNCs) shift their profits totaxhavens. The authors contribute to thisevidenceby comparing a range of available data sets focusing on US MNCs, includingcountry-by-countryreporting data released in December 2018 for the first time.with each of the datasets, the authors analyze the effectivetaxrates that US MNCs face in eachcountryandthe amount of profits they report. Usingcountry-by-countryreporting data, the authors established that lower effective corporatetaxrates are associatedwith higher levels of reported profitswhen comparedwith different indicators of real economic activity. This corresponds to the notion that MNCs often shift profits to countrieswith low effectivetaxrates –without also shifting substantive economic activity. The authors identify the most importanttaxhavens for US MNCs as countrieswith both low effectivetaxratesandhigh profits misalignedwith economic activity.

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Businesses Call for Limited OECD Tax Reform Agreement in 2021

  • By Stephanie Soong Johnston

By: Stephanie Soong Johnston

As major disagreements persist among governments and the business sector about the OECD's global tax reform project, it may be time for countries to mull striking a limited deal by mid-2021, Business at OECD said.In a lengthy December 14 comment letter, the group noted its members had difficulties agreeing on the design details of two OECD blueprints outlining proposals to modernize the corporate tax system for an increasingly digital and globalizedworld.

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Johnson & Johnson Floats More Streamlined OECD Pillar 1 Design

  • By Stephanie Soong Johnston

Johnson & Johnson has proposed a simpler design for a key element of the OECD's global tax reform project that could avoid disputes aboutwhich companies are in and out of scope of the rules.

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German Retail Group Rejects Proposed Online Packages Tax

  • By William Hoke

A proposal by two prominent German politicians to tax online purchases to fund relief for traditional brick-and-mortar stores hurt by COVID-19 has drawn criticism from the country's largest association of retailers

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MEP Wants More Tax Cooperation for Online Platforms in DAC7

  • By Sarah Paez

A member of the European Parliament (MEP) is calling for more cooperation among national tax authorities in sharing information about online sales platforms such as Amazon, eBay, Airbnb, and Uber.

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A Look Ahead: Hurry Up and Wait for a Global Tax Reform Deal (1)

  • By Stephanie Soong Johnston

Despite the OECD's best efforts to convince countries to sign off on proposals to tax the digital economy ÔøΩ during a pandemic, no less ÔøΩ a deal remains elusive, awaiting signals from the Biden administration in 2021.

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Global Digital-Tax Detente Ends, as U.S. and France Exchange Blows

  • By Sam Schechner and Paul Hannon

Detente is ending in the global fight over tech taxes. Earlier this year, France agreed to suspend collection of a tax on digital revenue from large technology companies such as Facebook Inc., Amazon.com Inc. and Alphabet Inc.'s Google. Meanwhile, the U.S. delayed the application of tariffs itwas putting on French goods in retaliation for the tax.

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Double Tax Worries Hang Over OECD Digital Plan, Official Warns

  • By Isabel Gottlieb

Negotiators are strugglingwith how to prevent multinationals from being hitwith a double tax under an OECD-led effort to set a global minimum rate, a U.K. official said.The interaction of the plan's minimum rate and the U.S.'s global intangible low-taxed income rules have been a major concern for U.S. companiesworried about the extra tax hit and compliance issues they could face if subject to both sets of rules.

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Going into Winter? Tax and Digitalization in 2021

  • By Will Morris

Substantive progress on tax and digitalization faces many obstacles and doesn't look promising aswe enter 2021.will Morris examines the challenges, considers the possible outcomes, and concludes that aworkable (and improvable) multilateral agreement is preferable to a free-for-all of DSTs, tariffs, and revenue grabs.

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Global Digital Tax Rewrite Faces Push for Plan Revamp in 2021

  • By Isabel Gottlieb and Hamza Ali

Next year signals a potential reboot of parts of the OECD-led effort to overhaul global tax rules as negotiators try to hammer out the final details of a deal. The pandemic and political disagreements derailed efforts to get 137 countries to agree to a plan in 2020 thatwould change how andwhere multinationals are taxed and set a global minimum tax rate.

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Global Digital Tax Rewrite Faces Push for Plan Revamp in 2021 (1)

  • By Isabel Gottlieb and Hamza Ali

Next year signals a potential reboot of parts of the OECD-led effort to overhaul global tax rules as negotiators try to hammer out the final details of a deal. The pandemic and political disagreements derailed efforts to get 137 countries to agree to a plan in 2020 thatwould change how andwhere multinationals are taxed and set a global minimum tax rate.

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The Year Ahead in International Tax

  • By Douglas L. Poms

The current Treasurywill likely try to finalize certain international regulations stemming from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act regulations before Jan. 20 to avoid having them pulled by the new administration,writes Doug Poms of KPMG. The author also looks atwhat a new Treasury may do, such as reinstating a tradition of providing legislative proposals (often referred to as Green Book proposals) alongwith its annual proposed budgetÔøΩincluding suggested legislative changes to international tax provisions.

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Digital and Green Taxes First on Europes 2021 Tax Agenda

  • By Stephen Gardner

The European Unionwill have two main tax policy priorities in 2021ÔøΩfinding away to tax the digital economy and using taxation to meet the bloc's goal of cutting greenhouse gas emissions to net-zero by 2050.

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Which Large U.S. Corporations Would Pay Bidens 15% Minimum Tax?

  • By Martin A. Sullivan

We estimate that 33 of the 100 largest U.S. companies could be subject to President-elect Joe Biden's proposed corporate minimum tax and pay a total extra tax of $20 billion annually if that proposalwere enacted as stand-alone legislation. Because the president-elect has proposed other significant tax increases on U.S. corporations, the effect of the proposed minimum taxwould likely be much less.

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Businesses Call for Limited OECD Tax Reform Agreement in 2021 (1)

  • By Stephanie Soong Johnston

As major disagreements persist among governments and the business sector about the OECD's global tax reform project, it may be time for countries to mull striking a limited deal by mid-2021, Business at OECD said.

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Johnson & Johnson Floats More Streamlined OECD Pillar 1 Design

  • By Stephanie Soong Johnston

Johnson & Johnson has proposed a simpler design for a key element of the OECD's global tax reform project that could avoid disputes aboutwhich companies are in and out of scope of the rules.

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China Should Consider a Digital Services Tax, Says Key Regulator

  • By William Hoke

A Chinese securities regulator said the government should conduct an in-depth study to determinewhether a digital services tax based on the concept that users create value should be implemented.

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France, India Pass Up OECDs Hard-to-Value Intangibles Rules

  • By Hamza Ali

Countries like France, Switzerland, and India are among the jurisdictions that haven't adopted the OECD's approach to assessing hard-to-value intangible assets. More than half of the 40 countries surveyed haven't implemented the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development's recommendations, according to an update releasedwednesday.

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OECD Deal Should End Unilateral Digital Taxes, Tech Giants Say

  • By Hamza Ali and Isabel Gottlieb

A number of tech giants, including Microsoft Corp., Spotify AB, and Netflix Inc., are calling for negotiators to require countries to abolish their own digital tax plans as part of an OECD agreement.

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Winners and Losers: The OECDs Economic Impact Assessment of Pillar One

  • By Lorraine Eden

The OECD's Pillar One Blueprint, released on Oct. 12, 2020, proposes to redistribute the taxable income of multinational enterprises (MNEs) away from jurisdictions that are home and host to MNEs to the marketswhere MNE products are sold. In the second article of a three-part series, Lorraine Eden examines the OECD's Economic Impact Assessment (EIA) of the Pillar One Blueprint, outlining the complexity and data problems faced in performing the assessment. The article highlights the key roles played by Global In-Scope Destination-based Sales (component C) and Global Residual In-scope Profits (component E) in determining the reallocation impacts of Pillar One. Estimates of the gap between components C and E are used to explore the likely jurisdictional impacts of Pillar One at a more fine-grained level than in the EIA.

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Digital Tax Control: Italy at the Forefront

  • By FILIPPA J√ñRNSTEDT

Filippa Jörnstedt of Sovos considers the experience of Italy in introducing a digital tax control regime and discusses how the success of the new regime has improved tax administration and revenues.

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Are Pillars 1 and 2 Compatible With Sovereignty and Democracy?

  • By Mindy Herzfeld

Comments on the OECD's pillars 1 and 2 blueprints for addressing the taxation of the digitalized economy are due December 14,with a public consultation to be held in mid-January. Expect the OECD to receive hundreds, if not thousands, of pages of comments, most ofwhichwill focus on technical problems posed by the suggested measures. For pillar 1, those include the challenges associatedwith scope thresholds and segmentation, the formula and mechanics for allocating profits (amount A) to market countries, and the prevention of double taxation. Pillar 2 issues include the calculation of the proposed global anti-base-erosion minimum tax and associated backstops, aswell as requests for carveouts.

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Economic Analysis: FDII Can Backfire and Promote Foreign Over Domestic Manufacturing

  • By Martin A. Sullivan

Contrary to the time-honored goal of Congress and presidents to promote U.S. manufacturing, the deduction for foreign-derived intangible income directly subsidizes the export of U.S. production know-how, and in some circumstances it favors foreign over domestic manufacturing.

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European Commission Makes Public CbC Reporting a Priority

  • By Jean Comte

Nearly five years after proposing new reporting requirements for multinationals, the European Commission appears poised to advance talks on tax transparency.

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OECD Forum on Tax Administration Commits to Digitally Transform Tax Administrations in Communique

  • By Tax Analysts

The 53 members of the OECD Forum on Tax Administration have issued a communiqué after their December 7-8 virtual meeting, highlighting their newly agreed 2021 tax administration agenda, including moving the international compliance assurance program out of the pilot phase and into an established program between tax administrations.

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Multilateral Tax Risk Assessment Program to Exit Pilot Phase

  • By Stephanie Soong Johnston

More than 50 tax administrations say a joint international tax risk assurance program can move beyond the pilot stage, and the IRSwill be among those thatwill stickwith the initiative in 2021.

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Sanctions Pitched to Cinch Stable Beneficial Ownership Reporting

  • By Annagabriella Col√≥n

The OECD's Global Forum on Transparency and Exchange of Information for Tax Purposes is calling for more progress on beneficial ownership transparency,with some members proposing sanctions to motivate more countries to implement uniform standards.

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OECD Global Forum Releases New Capacity-Building Strategy

  • By Sarah Paez

The OECD has refreshed its capacity-building programwith a new strategy to assist developing countries in implementing exchange of information (EOI) and transparency measures to combat tax evasion and other illicit financial flows.

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EU to Address Tax Haven Blacklist Inefficiencies

  • By Tax Analysts

Members of the European Parliament adopted a resolution thatwould make adding or striking a country from the EU list of tax havens a more transparent, consistent, and impartial process, according to a December 10 release.

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OECD Peer Review Finds Jurisdictions Improving on Info Exchange

  • By Kiarra M. Strocko

The OECD's transparency body has released its second round of peer reviews. Cyprus improved regarding accuracy of reported information and timeliness of requests, the review found, noting a 58 percent increase in requests from 2016.

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Senate Passes Defense Bill With Provisions to Combat Tax Evasion

  • By Jad Chamseddine

The Senate cleared a defense billwith provisions giving the government power to illuminate ownership structures of shell companies that facilitate tax evasion and money laundering and sent it to the president's desk.

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Is It Time to Eliminate Federal Corporate Income Taxes?

  • By Edward Lane and L. Randall Wray

As the nation is experiencing the need for ever-increasing government expenditures to address COVID-19 disruptions, rebuild the nation's infrastructure, and many otherworthy causes, conventional thinking calls for restoring at least a portion corporate taxes eliminated by the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, especially from progressive circles. In thisworking paper, Edward Lane and L. Randallwray examinewho really pays the corporate income tax and argue that it does not serve the purposes most people believe.

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Corporate Behavioral Responses to TCJA for Tax Years 2017–2018


The authors analyze the initial corporate response to the 2017 enactment of TCJA. Based on sample of U.S. corporate tax returns, the authors find that corporations accelerated deductions into 2017 and delayed income into 2018, thereby minimizin their taxes. Based on a study of the detailed tax returns of 81 large corporations, the authors estimate an income and deduction shiftin tax elasticity of -0.11 and 0.08, respectively.

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Low taxes on corporations and higher taxes on the execs who run them could stimulate US manufacturing

  • By Frank Manheim

American progressives call for higher corporate and personal taxes. Conservativeswant no tax increases. Given that President-elect Joe Biden's "green energy" plan requires a robust American manufacturing sector,we need a more nuanced tax scenario. The Biden campaign proposal to increase the nation's corporate tax rate to 28 percentwould leave that rate below pre-Trump corporate tax levels but still put the United States above most European rates and leave American manufacturing at a competitive disadvantage.

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OECD Hopes for a Restart on Digital Tax Talks Under Biden

  • By Isabel Gottlieb

New U.S. leadership could open up stalled talks on a digital tax overhaul, an OECD official said. "We're hoping now,with a new administration coming in,we can have a bit of a restart and fresh start to close these discussions and address these key issues," said Grace Perez-Navarro, deputy director of the Center for Tax Policy and Administration at the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.

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U.N. Digital Tax Plan May End Unilateral Measures, Official Says

  • By Isabel Gottlieb

A planned U.N. model treaty measurewill help discourage countries from taking unilateral action on digital taxes, one of its authors said. The U.N. aims to update its model tax treaty to allow countrieswith certain domestic digital tax plans to agree on such measureswith treaty partner countriesÔøΩknown as 'Article 12B'. It's intended to offer developing countries a simple solution for taxing digital activity.

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The OECD/Inclusive Frameworks Digitalization Project: Politics Over Policymaking

  • By Jefferson Vanderwolk

The election of Joe Biden to be the next president of the U.S. has given new hope to European government officialswho are pushing for a global agreement thatwould enlarge the taxing rights of market countrieswith respect to the profits of highly digitalized nonresident businesses. The Trump Administration, like the Obama Administration before it, evinced little enthusiasm for the project,whichwould hit U.S.-based multinationals in the technology sector hardest.

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