Papers & Reports

This article offers a comprehensive analysis of Congress’s constitutional power to attribute income for federal tax purposes, arguing that the Supreme Court’s decision in Moore v. United States aligns with a long-standing doctrinal tradition. Drawing on early 20th-century litigation over the taxation of trusts, corporations, and marital property, the article shows that the Court historically upheld broad congressional authority to tax one party based on another’s income, constrained only by due process. By tracing this attribution power through overlooked legal sources, the article supports the Moore majority’s reasoning and extends it to endorse modern tax reform proposals that allocate corporate income to shareholders.

This treatise chapter analyzes the 2025 Treasury regulations addressing the longstanding difficulties in applying U.S. source-of-income rules to intellectual property transactions. As digital content becomes the dominant form of IP, categorizing income as interest, dividends, rents, royalties, or gains has grown increasingly complex and economically significant. The chapter explains how the new regulations aim to clarify the sourcing of income from digital IP transactions, particularly by distinguishing between sales, licenses, and services and by refining the application of §§ 861–865. It situates the 2025 rules within the broader doctrinal framework and highlights their practical implications for cross-border taxation of digital IP.

This article presents a novel empirical strategy to test how Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) influence external tariffs toward non-member countries. Analyzing data from all FTAs signed between 1988 and 2017, it finds that FTAs generally encourage modest reductions in Most Favored Nation (MFN) tariffs, contradicting the common view that FTAs lead to more protectionist external policies. The results reveal a small but consistent complementarity effect between preferential and MFN tariff cuts, especially when major trading partners are involved. The paper also provides empirical support for theoretical mechanisms like rent destruction and shows how its methodology enables broader testing of trade policy models.

This article offers a critical reassessment of the Global Minimum Tax, framing it not as a milestone of international unity but as a strategic instrument of intra-Western tax competition, particularly in light of President Trump’s recent executive order repudiating the U.S.’s prior support for the OECD’s global tax deal. It highlights how the Global Minimum Tax—once celebrated as a multilateral breakthrough—exposes underlying geopolitical tensions, with Western powers divided in their fiscal strategies and economic priorities. The analysis focuses on the European Union’s push for strategic autonomy and the United States’ internal gridlock and policy reversals, suggesting that the GMT reflects a fragmented and power-driven international order rather than a cohesive multilateral framework.

This article examines the impact of Trump-era tariffs and associated trade policy uncertainty on major U.S. stock indices using a structural vector autoregression model that accounts for global macroeconomic variables. The findings reveal that tariff shocks initially boost the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones indices in the short run, but exert negative effects in the long run. Trade policy uncertainty, by contrast, has limited short-run impact but leads to a decline in stock prices over time. The combined influence of tariff and uncertainty shocks accounts for up to 35% of S&P 500 volatility, 20% for Nasdaq, and 54% for the Dow, underscoring the significant role of trade policy in driving market fluctuations. The paper concludes with policy recommendations to mitigate volatility and manage long-term investment risk in response to trade-related shocks.

This article investigates the spillover effects of the US-China trade war on third countries, using Vietnam’s exports to the U.S. as a case study. Analyzing highly detailed U.S. import data from 2017 to 2020, the study finds that although Vietnam’s overall exports rose by 8%, the average effect was statistically insignificant. However, Vietnam’s exports grew significantly in sectors where China had a pre-tariff war comparative advantage, suggesting Vietnam captured displaced Chinese trade. The paper also finds strong links between increased Vietnam-to-U.S. exports and rising China-to-Vietnam exports, as well as greater multinational corporation (MNC) activity, indicating tariff circumvention via supply chain reallocation. MNC activity is more closely associated with the extensive margin, reflecting new trade relationships rather than just expansion of existing ones. This article contributes to understanding how trade protectionism reshapes global value chains and redirects trade through third countries via strategic corporate responses.

This Note reevaluates the Principal Purpose Test, a provision introduced into over 2,300 bilateral tax treaties since 2015 to combat treaty abuse and tax avoidance. The PPT allows countries to deny treaty benefits when it is reasonable to conclude that obtaining those benefits was a principal purpose of a taxpayer’s arrangement. While critics argue the rule is overly vague and grants excessive discretion to tax authorities, this Note contends that such concerns are overstated. It argues, first, that legal standards like the PPT tend to crystallize over time through administrative and judicial interpretation, becoming more predictable. Second, jurisdictional variation in enforcement — with some countries applying the PPT assertively and others, including tax havens, interpreting it narrowly — will moderate its global impact. The Note ultimately defends the PPT as a balanced and pragmatic reform: one that enhances accountability for tax avoidance without fundamentally disrupting existing international tax frameworks. Its true effect, it concludes, lies in the divergent enforcement choices of treaty-partner countries.

This article critically examines the growing trend of weaponizing trade measures, highlighting how the expansion of national security exceptions and the rise of unilateral trade sanctions have eroded the integrity of the multilateral trading system, particularly within and beyond the WTO framework. While recent WTO cases illustrate this problem, many similar instances fall outside formal oversight, amplifying the threat to global trade stability. The article assesses the systemic risks posed by this practice and argues that, without effective safeguards, the fragile international trade order may face further destabilization. To counter this trend, the article proposes seven concrete countermeasures aimed at restoring rule-based discipline and insulating trade from geopolitical manipulation.

This article investigates how multinational corporations’ capital allocation decisions influence the balance between tax planning and innovation coordination across subsidiaries. Using an analytical model, it shows that while both income shifting and capital deployment can enhance tax efficiency, they can undermine joint innovation efforts across borders. Contrary to standard expectations that lower tax rates boost investment, the model predicts that tax cuts on innovative income may actually reduce innovation-related capital investment in the country enacting the cut. Empirical analysis using patent-box regimes and a stacked-cohort design supports this prediction: MNC affiliates engaged in cross-border collaboration reduce innovative activity after a rate cut, particularly in more generous or restrictive regimes. The findings underscore a key policy tension: efforts to curb income shifting through preferential innovation tax regimes may discourage coordinated investment in innovation, revealing a complex tradeoff between limiting base erosion and fostering growth through R&D.